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Showing posts with label Sleep Deprivation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sleep Deprivation. Show all posts

Jan 14, 2010

Was Wall Street Deriving While Impaired?

In the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis (at least I hope we're in the aftermath) observers of the financial markets continue to debate its underlying causes. Some point to executive compensation, which supposedly encouraged excessive risk-taking. Others blame excessive leverage (the most basic form of risk-taking) and finger the Federal Reserve for maintaining artificially low interest rates from 2002 to 2005. Other critics believe that a surge in esoteric and poorly-modeled derivatives allowed banks to pretend that a substantial increase in risk and systemic co-dependence was safely hedged.

But an article in "Science Translational Medicine" offers a simpler hypothesis consistent with lowered inhibitions, excessive risk-taking and impaired judgment: Wall Street was three (spread)sheets to the wind.

Now I'm not suggesting that investment bankers were drinking at work... at least not more than usual. But 100-hour workweeks are not uncommon on Wall Street, and as Bloomberg quotes the study, "Staying awake for 24 hours straight equals having a blood alcohol concentration of 0.10 percent, beyond the 0.08 percent legal limit for driving in the U.S."

You wouldn't give your car keys to a sleep-deprived, cognitively-impaired twenty-two year old, but bet a billion dollars (levered 10:1) on the AAA-rated tranche of a 30-layer, collateralized debt security that he modeled at four in the morning? No problem.